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Economic damage - not less than 1 billion US dollars.

Clever ideas of clever people | Introduction. | This is very clear. | How much does the construction of a NPP COST? | Why terms of construction of the NPP are tightened | Condition of construction of nuclear reactors in the world for 1998 on IAEA data ([16], tab. 11). | Is it easy to decommission NPP? | So how much does the electric power, produced on NPP cost? | About safety of NPP. | The staff decide all … But what and how? |


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Americans have appeared more truthful, than mister Linge. To tell the truth, such scale of accident as our, Chernobyl, they, thank God had not. But they have decided to count, what consequences at their NPPs could be at the severe accident. And not only have counted, but also have published received results. We bring to your attention only small part of these data published in report [66.] (See table 4)


Tab. 4.

Accounts of consequences of hypothetical accidents of one of units on some NPPs in the USA [66].

    NPP Number of deceases, people Non-cancer illnesses, people. Cancer illnesses, people Economic damage, milliards US dollars (1982)
Peach Bottom 3 288.000 45.000 148.000 119,0
San Onofre 2 108.000 23.000 18.000 186,0
Sequoyah-1 116.000 61.000 4.700 96,8
Susquehanna-1 268.000 47.000 28.000 143,0
Three Mile Island -2 184.000 50.000 28.000 122,0
Vogtle 1   39.000 4.000 70,3
Waterford-3 384.000 279.000 9.000 131,0
Watts Bar-1 20.000 11.000 4.000 86,6
Wolf Creek 1 4.000 3.000 3.000 105,9
Oconee 2 56.000 156.000 17.000 146,0
Surry 184.000 36.000 23.000 56,3

 

 

Rather essential moment consists in, that these accounts were made by one of the largest governmental nuclear institute in the USA. Hardly they have been interested in overestimating of assessments of possible consequences of hypothetical accidents. It is easier to assume revertive. Nevertheless, the result was tremendous: on many NPPs tens and hundred thousand hardly ill are named and hundred thousand victims. And it at accident only on one of the plants.

Comparing numbers named by us with calculated for the American NPPs, we, first of all, discover, that the death-roll on the American assessments appears considerably bigger, than Chernobyl assessments give (not present anything even close to “Linge” or “Bebeshko” values). With allowance for higher population density in territories, accumbent to the American NPPs, their assessments are quite verisimilar. On number falling ill, our assessments are close to American. The economic damage, fixed by Americans, is in ten times lower (and should be higher). The cause of such toe-out is quite clear. Americans considered damage for one year (our assessments - for 30 years), they took into account only territory of 30-kilometre zone (at us - all contaminated territory) and they did not take into account costs of treatment. If to take into account all of this, their damage also can appear more than Chernobyl.

Attempt has been made to define the general damage already put by all NPPs for all time of their work. On the estimated data, this damage compounds about 600 billion US dollars. Counting upon each unit with power of 1000 MW it is necessary more than one and a half billions US dollars. Rather essential additive cost to each reactor is received.

Certainly, the probability of accident, its scales and consequences are defined by technical performances of the object, situation, relief and population of environing territory, qualification and the responsibility of the attendants and many other objective factors. And so-called «the human factor» appears one of the major in this list. In the plan of “reliability” of this “factor”, all nuclear countries of the world would be possible to place in sequence. If to begin with the least safety countries undoubtedly in group of leaders would come Ukraine, Russia, Belarus (if it will appear among nuclear countries). Somewhere furthers from number of most „hazardous», there would be France, the United States, the Great Britain and Germany. And, most likely, country with very high level of the responsibility of people - Japan would close this list. In this country any accidents in service of so the composite technique should not be at all. Therefore it would be very interesting to glance in this country and to attempt to slightly open the screen of privacy created by atomic lobbyists

 


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