The possibility of nuclear terrorism in Pakistan

The problem of nuclear disarmament in the modern world is one of the most actual. Despite a number of disturbing events, global efforts on safety still weren't rather good to prevent nuclear catastrophe. Bad news is that nuclear threat grows. And according to the former analyst of CIA of Bruce Ridel, «Pakistan is the most dangerous country in the modern world».

Source: <http://nucleardiner.com/blogs/?p=336&option=com_wordpress&Itemid=101> 17 March 2012    

In the efforts on achievement of growth of Pakistan, terrorist group are most interested in creation of a fungoid cloud of nuclear explosion. Thus, terrorist groups will build a crude nuclear bomb which has low profitability and is unpredictable, inefficient and unsafe in comparison with difficult systems of the weapon in national nuclear arsenals. To resist to this qualitatively new threshold of nuclear threat, the states should provide total control of acquisition of nuclear materials. This risk raises requirements which should be placed on security measures for materials at all stages of their use, that is productions, processings, transportations and storages, in research reactors, and also on nuclear objects. The essence is that it is not enough of it to prevent bomb hit in hands of terrorists.

The Pakistan authorities solve this problem by increase of privacy of nuclear technologies. It is paradoxical, but this dependence on secret and physical safety can have unpleasant consequences in case terrorists get access to the locations of storages of the weapon, transport routes and the other classified information. [8]

Source: <http://axisoflogic.com/artman/publish/Article_57974.shtml>17 March 2012    

Researches of the Harward University showed that now real danger of receiving the Pakistan warheads terrorists only grows. [9] According to the report of Institute of a science and the international security (ISIS) for September 18, 2001, instability in Pakistan can appear as the vulnerable tool used by fighters for theft of the nuclear weapon. Plus to everything, is observed negligent attitude to safety of nuclear information. At last, in case of civil war in Pakistan, can happen so that control of warehouse can appear under the threat. [10]

Thus, it is possible to draw a conclusion that threat of nuclear terrorism in Pakistan exists, but it consists not in attack on objects of nuclear production, and generally in illegal production of nuclear ammunition and cheap, but their unsafe production.

Chapter 5

Дата добавления: 2015-10-30