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Country | Construction of suspended reactors. | Construction of annulled reactors. |
Austria | ||
Bulgaria | ||
Cuba | ||
Czech Republic | ||
Germany | ||
Spain | ||
Italy | ||
Lithuania | ||
Philippines | ||
Romania | ||
Russia | ||
Poland | ||
Ukraine | ||
USA | ||
IN TOTAL |
The decline of era of a snowballing of nuclear energy is most brightly seen from experience of the USA. The statement of one of American experts Gordon Ma-Kerron [27] is quite interesting: “Three –Mile-Island has shown, that some hours of bad work plus the unsuccessful design costs us not only annulling of billion of dollars, but also open the unrestricted bill of exchange on cleaning which can cost on some billions more. If to estimate decision making by criteria of market economy, it, probably, the first explicit warning, that the atomic energy is not durable”.
Under forecast of IAEA by year 2000 in the USA it was supposed to have the nuclear power plants with common capacity in 1.000.000 MW, the level is achieved only in 10 % from the prognosticated. In the USA all orders for construction of reactors, which were made since 1973, have been annulled and, since 1978, there were no orders on construction of reactors. The last reactor has been started-up in 1996, the construction of the new nuclear power plants is not conducted.
As of January, 1, 1996 in the USA 20 commercial reactors are stopped. For 1996-1998, 6 reactors are stopped. On the assessments of the American experts made in 1993, to year 2003 owing to economic problems and quick-ageing [6] was scheduled to close 25 reactors from 110 operating).
Many nuclear power plants are working until now, having unreasonably low capacity factor. For example, 14 reactors in the Great Britain have the capacity factor from 0,18 up to 0,36. It is connected, first of all, to that today is easier to conserve semblance of work of reactors, than to search for a means for payment of their decommission.
One more statement is rather interesting: “The demand for uranium in the world is known in a sufficient measure till 2005. After 2005 forecasts differ permanently because of increasing uncertainty in view of potential closure of the nuclear power plants, varying terms of their construction and absence of orders for construction of new NPPs”. And in fact, it is stated not by opponents of atomic energy, but by employees of the Division of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology Jean-Paul Nicolet and Douglas Underhill [47].
All this in aggregate testifies that the atomic energy to the present time is in downswing. Construction of a small amount of reactors, and is more true completion of long-term construction, basically in less developed countries, cannot characterize development of atomic energy in the world as a whole and, especially, justify or reconfirm their power, ecological and social expediency.
And one more, not less important conclusion. The hopes for a reactor with the guaranteed safety have not appeared. Attempts to improve existing systems of safety and protection, to introduce new and new systems conduct only to a significant complicating and rise in price of reactors. It frames new difficulties in their service. As result, in many events actually it not only does not provide expected raise of reliability, but also on the contrary, frames threat of new and new fails. Such position also is one of the main causes of that in many leading countries of the world the moratorium on construction of the nuclear power plant actually is accepted.
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Not development, but reducing of programs. | | | How various states concern to NPP. |