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When we consider income and food expenditures, all households with the same income are expected to spend different amounts on food. Consequently, the random error will have different values for these households. The variance measures the spread of these errors around the population regression line. Note that denotes the variance of errors for the population. However, usually is unknown. In such cases, it is estimated by , which is the standard deviation of errors for the sample data.
An estimator for the variance of the population model error is
Division by () instead of results because the simple regression model uses two estimated parameters, a and b, instead of one.
The formula for SSE is
If we introduce the following notations
where stands for “sums of squares”, then
.
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The explanatory power of a linear regression equation | | | Exercises |