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Semi-strong form EMH

Fama, Fisher, Jensen and Roll (1969) have done the initial testing for semi-strong market efficiency using the risk-adjusted return with respect to the announcement of stock split and found the occur of high abnormal return prior to the announcement of stock split.

The testing of market reaction to accounting information was rather positive than negative, few of the reviews showed that the accounting information received with positive association (Wilson, 1987). Rayburn (1996) examined the semi strong form factors and saw that there was a relative change in equity value (return).

The testing of semi-strong form by Block trading, when there is a large number of stocks are suddenly placed on the market for sale, resulted that the price of the stock significantly drop but after a short period stock rebounds to its prior level

Strong form EMH

Penman (1982) examined the insider trading and found that the insiders purchase the stocks before the announcement and sell after it, by which receiving high abnormal return. Therefore, insiders do indeed have private information that is not impounded in the stock price.

 

Article 3

Weak form EMH

According to Author there are two test approaches usually done to test the weak form. The first is the test of the random walk and the second is the test of trading strategies related with past price performance. According to the research, the former tests seem to support weak-form EMH while the latter, although rejecting the random walk by using specific strategies such as hedging and filter techniques, reveal that the available profit opportunities to investors are unable to compensate them with abnormal returns when taking into account transaction costs.

 

 

References

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BARNES, PAUL, (1986). Thin Trading and Stock Market Efficiency: the Case of the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting 13 (4):609-617.

BENJAMIN GRAHAM (2003). Intelligent Investor. USA: Harper. P. 121-122

CHANG, KUO-PING AND KUO-SHIUAN TING, (2000). A variance Ratio Test of the Random Walk Hypothesis for Taiwan’s Stock Market. Applied Financial Economics 10:525-532.

CHEUNG, KWONG-C. AND COUTTS J. A., (2001). A Note on Weak Form MarketEfficiency in Security Prices: Evidence from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Applied Economics Letters 8: 407-410

DICKINSON, J.P. AND MURAGU, K. (1994). Market Efficiency in Developing Countries: A Case Study of the Nairobi Stock Exchange. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 21 (1):133- 150.

DOCKERY, E. AND VERGARI F., (1997). Testing the Random Walk Hypothesis:Evidence for the Budapest Stock Exchange. Applied Economics letters 4:627-629.

FAMA, E. F., LAWRENCE FISHER, JENSEN, AND ROLL. (1969). The Adjustment of Stock Price to New Information. International Economic Review, Vol. 10, No.1, pp. 1-21.

FAMA, E. F. (1965). The Behavior of Stock Market Prices. Journal of Business, Vol. 38, No. 1, pp. 34-105.

FAMA, E. F. (1991). Efficient Capital Markets II. The Journal of Finance, Vol. 46, Issue 5, pp. 1575-1617.

FAWSON, C., GLOVER T. F., FANG W., AND CHANG T., (1996). The Weak-Form Efficiency of the Taiwan Share Market. Applied Economics Letters 3:663-667.

GROENEWOLD, N., SAM T., AND WU Y., (2003). The Efficiency of the Chinese Stock Market and the Role of the Banks. Journal of Asian Economics 14: 593-609.

GROSSMAN, SANFORD, J AND ROBERT J. SHILLER. (1981). The Determinants of the Variability of Stock Market Prices. American Economic Review, Vol. 71, No. 2 pp. 222-227.

E. BODIE, A. KANE, A. MARCUS. The investment principles. M..: Williams

LIMA, E. J. AND TABAK B. M., (2004). Tests of the Random Walk Hypothesis for Equity Markets: Evidence from China, Hong Kong and Singapore. Applied Economics Letters 11: 255-258.

MOOKERJEE, R. AND YU O., (1999). An Empirical Analysis of the Equity Markets in China. Review of Financial Economics 8: 41-60.

PENMAN, STEPHEN H. (1982). Insider Trading and the Dissemination of Firms' Forecast Information. Journal of Business,Vol. 55, No. 4, pp. 479-503.

RAYBURN, JUDY. (1987). The Association of Operating Cash Flow and Accruals with Security Return. Journal of Accounting Research, Vol. 24, pp. 112-133.

ROSENBERG, BARR AND ANDREW RUDD. (1982). Factor-Related and Specific Returns of Common Stocks: Serial Correlation and Market Inefficiency. The Journal of Finance, Vol. 37, Issue 2, pp. 543-554.

SEDDIGHI, H. R. AND NIAN W., (2004). The Chinese Stock Exchange Market: Operations and Efficiency. Applied Financial Economics 14: 785-797.

SHARMA, J. L. AND ROBERT E. KENNEDY, (1977). A comparative Analysis of Stock Price Behaviour on the Bombay, London, and New York Stock Exchanges. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. 391-413.

SCHWARTZ, ROBERT A. AND DAVID K. WHITCOMB. (1977). Evidence on the Presence and Causes of Serial Correlation in Market Model Residuals. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, pp. 291-311.

WILSON, PETER G. (1987). The Incremental Information Content of the Accrual and Funds Components of Earnings After Controlling for Earnings. Accounting Review, Vol. LXII. No. 2, pp. 293-305.


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